September 10, 2025
Congratulations to Commended Students and Semifinalists! You can use the cutoffs below to determine your status. Many schools have not yet received their Semifinalist lists. Commended lists will be mailed to schools today. Reports of a 226 cutoff this year were mistaken, although the top cutoff did set a new record at 225.
Semifinalists awaiting portal access can get a head start on their essay, as the prompt is unchanged from prior years. You can find the prompt and other information in our National Merit FAQ.
Alabama 214
Alaska 215
Arizona 218
Arkansas 215
California 224
Colorado 219
Connecticut 223
Delaware 220
Florida 219
Georgia 220
Hawaii 219
Idaho 215
Illinois 222
Indiana 218
Iowa 214
Kansas 216
Kentucky 214
Louisiana 216
Maine 217
Maryland 224
Massachusetts 225
Michigan 220
Minnesota 219
Mississippi 213
Missouri 217
Montana 213
Nebraska 214
Nevada 214
New Hampshire 219
New Jersey 225
New Mexico 210
New York 223
North Carolina 220
North Dakota 210
Ohio 219
Oklahoma 212
Oregon 219
Pennsylvania 221
Rhode Island 219
South Carolina 215
South Dakota 211
Tennessee 219
Texas 222
Utah 213
Vermont 216
Virginia 224
Washington 224
West Virginia 210
Wisconsin 215
Wyoming 210
District of Columbia 225
U.S. Territories 210
U.S. Students Abroad 225
Cutoffs for U.S. boarding schools are set regionally. The cutoff for a region is set at the highest state cutoff in a region.
September 9, 2025
Reports say that Utah’s cutoff is no higher than 216. Reports from Mississippi now indicate that 213 is the cutoff. Students at 222 did not qualify in New York (now confirmed), so the cutoff appears to be at least 223. Iowa just got narrowed down to 214 or 215. A South Carolinian qualified with 216. A Redditor posted that their principal confirmed Ohio’s cutoff as 219. Pennsylvania’s cutoff is no higher than 223. Iowa is confirmed at 214. An Arkansas student qualified at 216. Oregon’s cutoff appears to be 219 based on a current qualifier. A student in Alaska qualified with a 220. Rhode Island’s cutoff is 219 this year. A Washington student qualified with a 224.
AK =215
AL = 214
AR <= 216
AZ <= 218
CA = 224
CT <= 224
DC = 226
GA <= 223
FL = 219
HI >= 219
IA = 214
ID <= 216
IL = 222
IN <= 220
KS <= 218
KY <= 214
LA <= 216
MA = 225
MD = 225
ME <= 216
MI <= 220
MO <= 217
MS = 213
NC <= 220
ND <= 217
NH >= 219
NJ = 225
NY >= 223
OH = 219
OK = 212
OR = 219
PA >= 221 and <= 223
RI = 219
SC <= 216
TN = 219 (awaiting second confirmation)
TX = 222
UT <= 216
VA = 224
WA <= 224
September 8, 2025
California is confirmed at 224. This time for real. Virginia is now confirmed at 224. We have the first report from Idaho, and New York’s range has been narrowed. Kansas is no higher than 218. South Carolina looks to be no higher than 217. Pennsylvania’s cutoff is 224 or lower. A student in Kentucky qualified with a 214. That would mean an increase of AT MOST 1 point, and would be well under Kentucky’s record high. That’s a bit of good news for students in other states. I received an emailed report from a parent in Michigan, whose student qualified at 221, and she pointed out a Reddit qualifier at 220. A student on Reddit did not qualify with a 218 in New Hampshire, and the same was true of a student with a 220 in PA. A Redditor has posted that a 221 did not qualify in Illinois, which would pin the cutoff at 222.
September 6, 2025
I don’t expect to receive much new information over the weekend. One of the outstanding mysteries is whether or not the Studying Abroad and DC cutoffs have moved to 226, which would also indicate that one of the 50 states has moved to 226. I remain guarded about the reports, but this has been a year where unbelievable things have been true. The latest report is of a Maryland student missing out on Semifinalist at 225 [Now known as incorrect.].
September 5, 2025
I’ve received word from a New Jersey school that its 224 students did not qualify, while its 225 student did. This would be the biggest news of the cycle, and indicates that College Board broke the scale this year. This may also be why we are seeing added levels of secrecy. NMSC seems to be sending less information to schools this year, so getting final confirmation from each state is more difficult. Crowdsourcing is more important than ever, so please help others by sharing the news that you receive from your school, especially if your score is in the critical zone. Compass will not release your email address, and you are welcome to use a pseudonym. Compass compiles information received directly, information received via this website, and information received via other sources such as Reddit.
September 4, 2025: Texas at 222.
Both Compass and Reddit have received reports of California students at 222 not qualifying as Semifinalists. A student on Reddit noted that they did not qualify in IL with a 220. Oklahoma students have qualified at 212 and 213, and we believe the cutoff is 212. A North Carolina student with 220 reported qualifying. We have also had reports of the Texas cutoff moving to 222. This would be a record high, so I am trying to nail it down.
September 2, 2025: Letters arriving at schools. Florida at 219.
National Merit mails Semifinalist notifications directly to high schools and homeschoolers, and those packets have begun to arrive. As we hear from students, we will update this page with the latest information from across the country.
Florida’s Semifinalist cutoff is confirmed at 219, a 2-point increase.
April 7, 2025: Commended cutoff at 210.
The Commended Student cutoff for the class of 2026 is confirmed at a Selection Index of 210. This was the exact level Compass projected in November based on PSAT results. This means that changes to our estimated ranges for Semifinalist cutoffs are minimal. The extreme edges — upper and lower — of our estimated ranges are a bit less probable, but the “Most Likely” scores are unchanged. The fact that Compass’s Commended cutoff estimate was correct, however, does not mean that the Semifinalist projections will prove just as accurate — there is always variability at the state level. Juniors scoring at or above 210 on the PSAT/NMSQT will be Commended Students or Semifinalists, but announcements are not made until September. Semifinalist cutoffs will not be revealed until late August or early September.
November 13: Updated with final wave of PSAT scores.
College Board released scores in three waves depending on when students took the PSAT. We have now received scores summaries for all three waves. It is possible that some late scores will still dribble in, but we are not expecting any changes. The results point to a strong upward trend in cutoffs for the class of 2026. You are welcome to jump to the table of estimates below, but we encourage students and families to read more about how we came to those estimates. For more information on the National Merit Program, in general, you may want to read Compass’s National Merit Scholarship Program Explained. If you want to browse almost two decades’ worth of cutoffs, you can find them in Compass’s National Merit Historical Cutoffs.
What is a Semifinalist Cutoff?
Each year almost 17,000 juniors are named Semifinalists in the National Merit Scholarship Program and continue on in the hopes of being one of the 15,000 Finalists and, eventually, one of the 7,500 scholarship recipients. The score needed to qualify as a Semifinalist varies by state and is known as the “cutoff.” Every student scoring at or above the Semifinalist cutoff qualifies. The cutoff is not based on a student’s overall PSAT score but on the Selection Index. The Selection Index is listed on a student’s PSAT score report. It can be calculated by doubling the ERW score, adding the Math score, and then dividing the sum by 10. For example, a 720 ERW / 730 M would have a Selection Index of (720 x 2 + 730)/10 = 217. For the class of 2025, cutoffs ranged from 208 to 223.
What is a Commended Student Cutoff?
If you performed well on the PSAT but do not qualify as a Semifinalist, you have the opportunity to be named as a Commended Student. Unlike the Semifinalist cutoffs, the Commended cutoff is set nationally. For last year’s class it was 208. Approximately 36,000 students are named Commended Students each year.
Why does Compass believe that we are likely to see cutoffs, as a whole, go up?
College Board releases very little data about score distribution. The number of top scorers is the most critical piece of information that we get this early in the process. While we do not know the number of students scoring at a particular Selection Index, we do know the number of students scoring in the 1400-1520 range, which roughly correlates to Selection Indexes of 210-228. The class of 2026 ranks 4th in the ten years since the PSAT scoring was overhauled, and this year sees the highest ever percentage of top scores. The number of Semifinalists and Commended students are capped, so cutoffs are likely to rise. But not all cutoffs. The numbers we have seen are at the national level and there is always churn at the state level. What we believe, however, is that more cutoffs will go up than down.
There is a good correlation between the 1400-1520 band of students and the Commended Student score. We believe that the Commended cutoff will come in between 209 and 211, with a 210 being most likely. Based on our historical archive of Semifinalist and Commended cutoffs, we believe that the average Semifinalist cutoff will go up this year.
Will I find out my status right away?
No. In fact, students don’t learn of Semifinalist status until September of senior year. Compass tracks data on current year performance and historical records to provides estimates and updates between PSAT score release and the Semifinalist announcements. Last year — the first year of the digital PSAT — saw a noticeable uptick in scores. Only one state — South Dakota — saw a lower cutoff versus the previous year’s. Was this a onetime quirk? Based on early results for the class of 2026, we do not believe that it was. The upward trend — whether due to the new test format, recovery from COVID-era learning loss, or other factors — appears to be continuing.
One mistake students make is thinking that the cutoff for one year will be the same in the next year. Cutoffs change every year, sometimes by as much as 5 or 6 points (granted, that’s unusual). Compass emphasizes an Estimated Range, which is likely to include the ultimate cutoff. Within that range, we do provide our Most Likely. That score represents our best estimate based on the known factors, but there are many unknown factors. Most of our PSAT performance data are for national results. So we can usually peg the Commended cutoff within a point or two. States, however, can move in different directions. More Alaskan students may test this year. Some strong Rhode Island prep schools may have decided to stop offering the PSAT. A COVID outbreak in Montana could mean more students using Alternate Entry and entering the competition using SAT scores. Below is a table that shows how many states in each of the last 17 years saw increases, decreases, or no change. There has never been a year where even half of all state cutoffs remain unchanged.
The chart below divides the 50 states into those that saw increases (blue), those that remained unchanged (gray), and those that saw declines (red).
Historically, a change in cutoff is more likely than not. Over the decade from 2015 – 2024, Semifinalist cutoffs remained unchanged only about one-third of the time.
We believe that a table of results from this class will skew to the right.
Small states have more volatile cutoffs than large states, but there can be surprises across the board. The PSAT had a significant overhaul in scoring in 2017. If we look at the minimum and maximum cutoffs during the 9-year period from then until the class of 2025, we see that the 13 largest states (about 100,000 or more high school graduates) average a 2.8-point differential. New Jersey has a 1-point differential, since its lowest cutoff is 222 and highest is 223. The smallest states (fewer than 30,000 graduates) have a 6.2 point differential. Alaska has been as low as 208 and as high as 217! The medium-sized states average a 5-point difference between minimum and maximum.
Here are Compass’s current estimates for Semifinalist cutoffs for the class of 2026:
State | Class of 2026 Estimated Range | Class of 2026 Most Likely | Class of 2025 (Actual) | Class of 2024 (Actual) | Class of 2023 (Actual) | # of 2025 Semifinalists |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alabama | 210 - 216 | 214 | 212 | 210 | 212 | 267 |
Alaska | 210 - 216 | 214 | 214 | 209 | 210 | 36 |
Arizona | 215 - 220 | 218 | 217 | 216 | 214 | 401 |
Arkansas | 210 - 215 | 213 | 213 | 210 | 210 | 134 |
California | 220 - 223 | 222 | 221 | 221 | 220 | 2103 |
Colorado | 216 - 221 | 218 | 218 | 216 | 217 | 272 |
Connecticut | 220 - 222 | 221 | 221 | 221 | 221 | 177 |
Delaware | 218 - 221 | 220 | 219 | 219 | 218 | 43 |
District of Columbia | 222 - 224 | 223 | 223 | 223 | 223 | 47 |
Florida | 216 - 220 | 218 | 217 | 216 | 216 | 972 |
Georgia | 217 - 221 | 219 | 218 | 217 | 218 | 624 |
Hawaii | 215 - 220 | 218 | 217 | 217 | 215 | 74 |
Idaho | 212 - 217 | 214 | 213 | 211 | 215 | 102 |
Illinois | 218 - 222 | 220 | 220 | 219 | 219 | 738 |
Indiana | 214 - 219 | 217 | 217 | 216 | 214 | 304 |
Iowa | 211 - 217 | 214 | 212 | 210 | 212 | 156 |
Kansas | 213 - 219 | 216 | 215 | 214 | 214 | 142 |
Kentucky | 211 - 217 | 214 | 213 | 211 | 212 | 202 |
Louisiana | 212 - 217 | 215 | 214 | 214 | 213 | 238 |
Maine | 212 - 217 | 215 | 214 | 213 | 215 | 53 |
Maryland | 221 - 224 | 222 | 222 | 221 | 222 | 296 |
Massachusetts | 221 - 224 | 223 | 223 | 222 | 220 | 294 |
Michigan | 216 - 220 | 218 | 218 | 217 | 218 | 511 |
Minnesota | 216 - 220 | 218 | 217 | 216 | 216 | 288 |
Mississippi | 210 - 215 | 213 | 212 | 209 | 210 | 155 |
Missouri | 214 - 218 | 216 | 215 | 214 | 213 | 276 |
Montana | 208 - 213 | 210 | 209 | 209 | 207 | 45 |
Nebraska | 210 - 216 | 213 | 211 | 210 | 212 | 118 |
Nevada | 211 - 218 | 215 | 214 | 211 | 210 | 162 |
New Hampshire | 214 - 219 | 217 | 217 | 215 | 213 | 55 |
New Jersey | 222 - 224 | 223 | 223 | 223 | 223 | 474 |
New Mexico | 209 - 215 | 212 | 211 | 207 | 208 | 94 |
New York | 219 - 221 | 220 | 220 | 220 | 219 | 1089 |
North Carolina | 216 - 220 | 218 | 218 | 217 | 217 | 518 |
North Dakota | 209 - 213 | 210 | 210 | 207 | 209 | 28 |
Ohio | 215 - 219 | 217 | 217 | 216 | 216 | 582 |
Oklahoma | 209 - 215 | 212 | 211 | 208 | 211 | 214 |
Oregon | 215 - 220 | 217 | 216 | 216 | 216 | 205 |
Pennsylvania | 217 - 221 | 219 | 219 | 219 | 218 | 583 |
Rhode Island | 213 - 220 | 217 | 217 | 215 | 216 | 50 |
South Carolina | 210 - 217 | 215 | 214 | 209 | 213 | 234 |
South Dakota | 209 - 214 | 211 | 208 | 209 | 212 | 41 |
Tennessee | 215 - 219 | 218 | 217 | 217 | 215 | 319 |
Texas | 218 - 221 | 220 | 219 | 219 | 219 | 1714 |
Utah | 210 - 216 | 213 | 211 | 209 | 211 | 195 |
Vermont | 211 - 217 | 215 | 215 | 212 | 213 | 33 |
Virginia | 220 - 223 | 222 | 222 | 219 | 221 | 394 |
Washington | 220 - 223 | 221 | 222 | 220 | 220 | 358 |
West Virginia | 209 - 212 | 210 | 209 | 207 | 207 | 66 |
Wisconsin | 213 - 217 | 215 | 214 | 213 | 213 | 289 |
Wyoming | 209 - 213 | 211 | 209 | 207 | 207 | 24 |
U.S. Territories | 209 - 211 | 210 | 208 | 207 | 207 | 45 |
Studying Abroad | 222 - 224 | 223 | 223 | 223 | 223 | 112 |
Commended | 209 - 211 | 210 | 208 | 207 | 207 |
If you’d like to see even more historical data, you can find cutoffs going back to 2008 in Compass’s National Merit Historical Cutoffs.
Why does each state have its own Semifinalist cutoff if the program is NATIONAL Merit?
This is always a hot button question. NMSC allocates the approximately 17,000 Semifinalists among states based on the annual number of high school graduates. That way, students across the nation are represented. It also means that there are very different qualifying standards from state to state. A Massachusetts student with a 220 might miss out on being a Semifinalist. If she lived 10 miles away in New Hampshire, she would qualify.
NMSC sets a target number of Semifinalists for a state. For example, California sees about 2,000 Semifinalists every year, Michigan 500, and Wyoming 25. In each state, NMSC determines the Selection Index that comes closest to matching its target number of Semifinalists. If 1,900 California students score 222 and higher and 2,050 score 221 or higher, then the Semifinalist cutoff would be 221 (this assumes that the target is exactly 2,000). Because score levels can get crowded, it is easy for cutoffs to move up or down a point even when there is minimal change in testing behavior or performance.
No Semifinalist cutoff can be lower than the national Commended level. Cutoffs for the District of Columbia and for U.S. students studying abroad are set at the highest state cutoff (typically New Jersey). The cutoff for students in U.S. territories and possessions falls at the Commended level each year. Boarding schools are grouped by region. The cutoff for a given region is the highest state cutoff within the region.
Why does the number of top scorers vary from year to year?
While there are changes in the number of students taking the PSAT/NMSQT, there can also be small flaws in test scaling that play a role. Prior to the digital PSAT, a single test form was seen by a large percentage of test takers. Something amiss with that single form could impact selection cutoffs across the country. The digital PSAT is constructed differently. Students receive unique form codes drawn from a large pool of problems. Scaled scores are generated based on the characteristics of those problems. In theory, this should make scores more stable. College Board’s early studies have found an extremely high correlation between the paper-and-pencil test and digital test. Still, even with its adaptive nature, the uncertainty remains as to whether the much shorter test can reliably score students at the 700-760 end of the scale.
What if I missed the PSAT because of illness or other legitimate reason?
You may still be able to enter the scholarship program by applying for Alternate Entry using an SAT score. Find information about last year’s process in Compass’s explanation of National Merit alternate entry.
When are National Merit Semifinalists announced?
The Commended cutoff becomes unofficially known by the end of April. The lists of Semifinalists are not distributed to high schools until the end of August. NMSC sets a press embargo on Semifinalist announcement until mid-September, but schools are allowed to notify students before that date. NMSC does not send Commended Student letters to high schools until mid-September. Compass will keep students updated on developments as those dates approach.
Do state and national percentiles indicate whether I will be a National Merit Semifinalist?
No! Approximately 1% of test takers qualify as Semifinalists each year, so it is tempting to view a 99th percentile score as indicating a high enough score — especially now that College Board provides students with percentiles by state. There are any number of flaws that rule out using percentiles as a quick way of determining National Merit status.
- Percentiles are based on section scores or total score, not Selection Index
- Percentiles are rounded. There is a large difference, from a National Merit perspective, between the top 0.51% and the top 1.49%
- Percentiles reveal the percentage of students at or below a certain score, but the “at” part is important when NMSC is determining cutoffs.
- The number of Semifinalists is based on the number of high school graduates in a state, not the number of PSAT takers. Percentiles are based on PSAT takers. States have widely varying participation rates.
- Most definitive of all: Percentiles do not reflect the current year’s scores! They are based on the prior 3 years’ performance. They are set even before the test is given. And if you are going to use prior history, why not use the completely accurate record of prior National Merit cutoffs rather than the highly suspect percentiles?
Entry requirements for National Merit versus qualifying for National Merit.
Your PSAT/NMSQT score report tells you whether you meet the eligibility requirements for the NMSP. In general, juniors taking the October PSAT are eligible. If you have an asterisk next to your Selection Index, it means that your answers to the entrance questions have made you ineligible. Your answers are conveniently noted on your score report. If you think there is an error, you will also find instructions on how to contact NMSC. Meeting the eligibility requirements simply means that your score will be considered. Approximately 1.4 million students enter the competition each year. Only about 53,000 students will be named as Commended Students, Semifinalists, Finalists, or Scholars. See National Merit Explained for more information.
My son’s school announced today. RI is 219 with his friend confirmed at 218 not getting it. School has 10+ NMSFs, a new record, though not surprising as top public school in the state.
Great to get confirmation from Rhode Island. Congratulations to your son!
Mr. Sawyer,
If our school still does not notified us tomorrow, will we be able to find the official cutoffs anywhere?
Thanks
Frank,
Here, I hope. 😉
NMSC’s history on publishing cutoffs on the day of the release is mixed. You can check the Press Release page and see if they have updated the Guide to the Merit Program to the 2025 version.
The press release doesn’t really contain any useful info, IMO. I thought it would have more dada (total, number by state, etc.)
https://www.nationalmerit.org/s/1758/images/gid2/editor_documents/guide_to_the_national_merit_scholarship_program.pdf?gid=2&pgid=61&sessionid=201962f4-5ae9-4a13-9dab-a5434299483c&cc=1
thank you!
My daughter is at a 215 in KY and I checked with the school just this morning and they have not been notified or received anything.
Congratulations to your daughter! The mail sometimes gets delayed. They can contact National Merit to see if they can get online access to their list.
Hey! My school sent out an email this morning saying I qualified. 215 from SC. I’m like 90% sure it’s correct, although my school has been known to be disorganized/not know what they’re talking about. Thanks for all the updates, I’ve been checking this page a lot over the past week or so.
It’s correct. Congratulations!
Alabama 214, Alaska 215, Arizona 218, Arkansas 215, California 224, Colorado 219, Connecticut 223, Delaware 220, Florida 219, Georgia 220, Hawaii 219, Idaho 215, Illinois 222, Indiana 218, Iowa 214, Kansas 216, Kentucky 214, Louisiana 216, Maine 217, Maryland 224, Massachusetts 225, Michigan 220, Minnesota 219, Mississippi 213, Missouri 217, Montana 213, Nebraska 214, Nevada 214, New Hampshire 219, New Jersey 225, New Mexico 210, New York 223, North Carolina 220, North Dakota 210, Ohio 219, Oklahoma 212, Oregon 219, Pennsylvania 221, Rhode Island 219, South Carolina 215, South Dakota 211, Tennessee 219, Texas 222, Utah 213, Vermont 216, Virginia 224, Washington 224, West Virginia 210, Wisconsin 215, Wyoming 210, District of Columbia 225, U.S. boarding schools ***, U.S. territories 210, Outside the U.S. 225
Thank you, Alex!
PA cutoff is 221
Thank you, JK.
My daughter did not qualify in Georgia at 219. I don’t know the cutoff, but at least >219. I’m devastated but thankfully she was like “oh well” and went on about her day. I really thought at 219 (730/730), she would qualify. Probably came down to 1-2 questions. If only she had had her 760 in RW from her sophomore year, I’m sure she would have qualified in GA even with this year’s wacky scores. Looking forward to your postmortem . Thanks for keeping us all informed.
I’m sorry that your daughter missed the cutoff (220). She should still be proud of her score!
I look forward to your analysis . Very curious also how many states broke records and by how many points . As a parent, this is my first year learning about all this. We had the highest index our state had previously seen and a corporate scholarship potential so it is disappointing to have the state break records by 2 points . I am also curious how within the states the socioeconomic representation is…. Not sure if your analysis will touch on this or if anything is ever published about this ? Especially with the large states that have pockets of wealth
11 states set new records (12 if you exclude Maryland’s COVID year). All of those records were in high-scoring states. The forces that had kept changes muted in the 220+ states for 20 years suddenly let loose.
NMSC doesn’t report any socioeconomic details. When I’ve looked at the city by city data in the past, they confirm what we know about high scores generally — they correlate with parental education and income.
Looks like Montana (a low-scoring state, historically) might have set a new record, too – 4pts up from last year and 3pts higher than your “Likely” (which you continue to nail with a high degree of accuracy across all states, by the way). I wonder if this reflects demographic shifts into Montana over the last 4 years. My kid scored 213, so we’re waiting to hear from the school (since NMSC sends names to media but not to, ya know, “the names” themselves). Thanks for your work here.
CoachW,
In a normal year, there is always a Montana, a small state with a surprise. What made this year so unusual was that surprises extended to the largest states and to the highest scoring states.
Demographic changes could be playing a role, although we do see small states have unusual years occasionally. Montana has fewer than 50 Semifinalists each year, so it doesn’t take much to shift the cutoff. A couple of high schools offering the PSAT for the first time. The presence of some math items that aligned well with Montana’s standards, etc. Some of it just boils down to luck. Those 50 students range from 213 to 228 (last year from 209 to 228), so at some of those indexes, there were very few students.
Or, it’s all about “Yellowstone.” 😉
You should hear soon. If you want your student to do something more productive than waiting, I posted the essay prompt (which never changes).
Art, one thing that’s become apparent over the past two years is that you serve as an important distributor of information about this entire process. Any Google search in the past two weeks quickly led right to this blog. Other blogs use you as their yardstick too.
Given how difficult it is to get information passed through the media, I am wondering if you’ve ever inquired about getting a media credential from NMSC based on this blog. so that you can also receive yhe press releases. I am sure you would reach a wide audience, and it would serve a great public good. There would be concerns about preferntial treatment towards a consultant, but I suspect there is a way through that.
As an example of what is NOT working: NMSC gave me the names of 3 media outlets in my state that they release information to. I had already written two of these – neither has ever released any news about the NMS process. They simply don’t understand it and are not interested.
Matt,
Thank you for the kind words. I suppose that I could ask you for a recommendation letter to NMSC.
A media credential would take away one of the things that I value — the ability to talk openly about the entire process. I don’t want an NDA, I want NMSC to disclose more. Instead, it went in the other direction this year and locked things down even harder. I think the current notification process is unnecessarily cruel. Let’s make students wait 11 months and then dribble out notifications in a haphazard manner. The process that worked 50 years ago needs to be updated. What college still uses the “fat envelope in US Mail” style of admission notification? It’s especially true because, as you point out, media organizations are no longer in a position to carry part of the burden.
I’m a big supporter of National Merit, and NMSC does an amazing job on so many things. It’s a wonderful organization that I want to see thrive. The Semifinalist process needs to be improved.
Any news on NC besides a 220 cut off? My son school has heard and received nothing and multiple other posters on Reddit saying the same. Also can’t find any press releases.
Linda,
That’s not unusual. The notification process is…dated. Now that the results have been released, you should be able to call NMSC to get your son’s status confirmed. He’ll still need the letter from the school within login information to the OSA (Online Scholarship Application), but there is really no rush. Other than the essay, the application will take an hour (if he types really slowly) to fill out. The essay prompt is the same that NM always uses, so he can get started on that, too. It’s so general that one of his college essays can be quickly tailored.
To help the reviewers get to know you, describe an experience you have had, a person who has influenced you, or an obstacle you have overcome. Explain why this is meaningful to you. Use your own words and limit your response to the space below.
I think students find that they can fit about 600 words. Good luck with Finalist!
My daughter is at a 228 in NJ and I have not been notified any from school yet. Should I contact the school?
Yes, I would start there, because the letter from the school has the login information needed for the next stage. Check out the post that should be right above yours for the essay topic.
Glad Maryland is not the crazy 226!
Yes, the 225s were crazy enough!
Mr. Sawyer,
What is a high enough confirming score? Here are the tests I have taken:
ACT #1:
35E 31R 32M 33S (33 composite)
ACT #2:
34E 35R 32M 28 S (32 composite)
Test 2 would result in a high confirming score, however, it is not my highest composite score, and I believe they do not superscore (my superscore is a 34 if that matters). Would they take Test 2 or Test 1? Do my scores look high enough to advance to finalist?
Thanks!
Frank,
Short answer: Submit test 2 and you are good to go!
Long answer:
NMSC doesn’t use your composite school when evaluating your standing for Finalist or Scholar. The confirming score requirement is strictly pass/fail, and you pass. Your combined E+R is 69 and that concords to a 740 RW. Your 32M would be a 730 M. That gives you an SAT Selection Index of 221, and you should be good with 210 or higher (NMSC generally sets things at the Commended level). I know it seems odd to send your “lower” score, but science is completely ignored. No superscoring with National Merit.
Hi Art,
I just wanted to thank you for your incredible work. I’ve left several messages for this entire process, and you were always there to reply in a timely manner. The effort that you put in, cycle after cycle, is really admirable. Please keep being an incredible resource!
Thank you, Janet! Every year I hit a lull in June/July where I wonder whether I’ll have the energy for Aug/Sep. And then each year I get excited to help.
Art,
This might be a bit early, but given the way that things ultimately unfolded this year, what do you think is going to happen with next year’s national merit competition? Cutoffs, scaling, notification process, etc.
Veron,
I think the most important takeaway from this year is that high-scoring states are no longer immune from the disruption seen in the past at the Commended+ range. Has College Board lost hold of the scale or is this just a fluke from a bad test date? I don’t think we can know definitively, but either way we now know to expect the unexpected.
NMSC had more than its share of fumbles this year, so maybe it will get them thinking about modifications in the future. I don’t expect those changes to happen for the class of 2027. The glass half full view is that at least we know how the process works!
Magnet school in Texas just announced and said the cutoff was 223 this year for Texas.
Austin,
My guess is that they didn’t have any students at 222 and assumed the cutoff was 223. The Texas cutoff has been confirmed as 222 by National Merit. Thank you!
Thanks for posting the state data link above. Is there anyway to find out the district or school data for a state? I am just curious as I am trying to understand the TN data. This year the cut off for TN jumped 2 points to 219. I know this was possible since it has happened before but not likely (I have followed your projections closely). Our district is a very high performing district. When you look at last year’s data, the cut off of TN was 217 that resulted in 319 semifinalists statewide of those 88 were from our district (27.9%). This year even though the cut off was raised to 219, I’d expect to see our district perform similar to last year. The state number for semifinalists was 306 (at the 219 cut off so fewer than last year which would be expected); however; our district only had 60 semifinalist (down to 19.6% of the state semifinalists). This tells me either a lot of students improved tremendously (outside of our district), maybe a school was added that skewed the numbers, perhaps our students did not improve proportionally with the state improvement, or maybe we just have a lot of students that scored at the 218 index? I like for the math to make sense, but I cannot get it to so I’d love to know what happened. Yes my daughter scored 218 and did not make the cut. So is more data available. Just curious. Thanks for all the information you provide.
Amy,
National Merit does not provide any information below the state level. College Board makes some school and district data available, but only to the school and districts. And District X doesn’t have access to District Y.
The odd thing about this year is that the 2-point rise was what we would “expect” from Tennessee. Twenty-five of fifty states went up by exactly 2 points, and thirty-two went up by 2 or more points. The extent of the increase makes me believe that the change is attributable more to College Board than anything at the student level. Tests are not always scaled perfectly, and this year’s PSAT is evidence of that.
So why did the number of Semifinalists in your district go down? You’ve outlined the leading theories. We sometimes see that level of shift at top schools that might have do – 80 NMSFs. We are, after all, only talking about a shift in 28 students. I don’t know if you’ve gone back further and seen how consistent the NMSF numbers are for your district. In the “old days” of paper testing, I would have tried to investigate whether different forms of the PSAT performed differently. We saw, at times, where the Wed test produced highly dissimilar results to the Saturday test (and not simply due to differing pools). The digital PSAT is scaled such that all of that information is invisible to us. The questions used, the parameters of those questions, the score distributions, etc. are all hidden away. Did your district’s students take a test that produced an anomalous result versus the majority of other districts? We saw that arise sometimes on the paper test.
My daughter’s counselor said school still did not recieved any yet and she thinks it will be later in the month! But I see so many other schools posted their semi-finalists already. Does it come by email? or package to school?- NJ
JK,
The information comes via snail mail. In the past, NMSC mailed everything at once — a school’s list and a larger master list. This year NMSC only mailed the basic list and told schools that everything else would come later. The counselor should be able to call NMSC and usher things along if they are willing to do that. You can call NMSC to confirm that your daughter qualified. If she did, then really all you need to do is have your daughter start on the essay (prompt is in our NM FAQ), make sure that she has the confirming SAT/ACT score, and remind the school that they’ll need to follow up. The school’s most important role is getting your daughter the login information and then submitting her completed application along with a recommendation. That’s not until October. NMSC wants students to participate and will make it happen. It’s just not great about making it happen all at once.