April 8 Update:
The Commended cutoff — the minimum score to be considered for National Merit honors — for the class of 2025 is 208. This is the highest cutoff in 4 years. Compass’s analysis of the results from the first digital PSAT showed that the Commended cutoff would fall in the 208 – 210 range, so the 208 is in line with expectations.
Compass has incorporated the Commended cutoff into its projections for the Semifinalist cutoffs, which will begin filtering out around Labor Day.
Why haven’t I been told anything by my school?
The April announcement is to schools only and is not an official notification of a student’s status. Honored students are not notified until September.
Why aren’t Semifinalist cutoffs announced at the same time?
National Merit must receive student eligibility information from schools and then calculate the separate Semifinalist cutoffs for each state. Only the Commended cutoff is national. NMSC will mail high schools the names of Semifinalists at the end of August, and students will be notified by their schools in early to mid-September. Schools are not given the Commended Student letters until after Semifinalists are announced.
[The November 2023 post below has been updated with the Commended cutoff information.]
The 2023 digital PSAT/NMSQT for the class of 2025 represents the biggest change to the National Merit Scholarship Program since the PSAT was overhauled in 2015. Each year Compass looks at the results from the PSAT and tracks projected Selection Index cutoffs for Commended Students and for Semifinalist in each of the 50 states. [See National Merit Scholarship Program Explained for full details on stages and instructions. For information on the class of 2024 cutoffs, see this archive.]
Instead of having schools administer a paper test on fixed dates, College Board allowed the digital PSAT to be offered throughout October. College Board also introduced a new score return policy. Students taking the test on or before October 14th receive scores on November 6th. Students taking the PSAT after October 14th receive their scores on November 16th. Compass now has the data from both release windows. Approximately 50,000 students landed in the 1400-1520 score band from almost 1.5 million test takers. The initial half of scores already accounted for 30,000 of top band scores, so the later testers had a lower proportion of high scorers. This will come as a relief to students who were fearing an extremely large jump in Selection Index cutoffs.
This year is shaping up similar to the class of 2021 (the last pre-pandemic PSAT) and, reaching back farther, the class of 2017.
The number of top scorers is the most critical piece of information that we get this early in the process. There is a strong correlation between the 1400-1520 band of students and the Commended Student score.
[We now know the exact Commended cutoff is 208. -Ed.] The Commended Student cutoff is likely to rise to 209 (above the 207 from the last 3 years). Estimates can be imperfect, but we are confident that the Commended cutoff will fall within the 208 to 210 range. The higher Commended cutoff, in turn, correlates with higher Semifinalist cutoffs. Below are those estimates.
State | Class of 2025 (Most Likely) | Class of 2025 (Est Range) | Class of 2024 (Actual) | Class of 2023 (Actual) | Class of 2022 (Actual) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alabama | 212 | 210 - 216 | 210 | 212 | 212 |
Alaska | 212 | 209 - 215 | 209 | 210 | 208 |
Arizona | 217 | 214 - 220 | 216 | 214 | 218 |
Arkansas | 212 | 209 - 215 | 210 | 210 | 211 |
California | 221 | 219 - 223 | 221 | 220 | 221 |
Colorado | 217 | 215 - 220 | 216 | 217 | 217 |
Connecticut | 221 | 219 - 222 | 221 | 221 | 220 |
Delaware | 220 | 218 - 222 | 219 | 218 | 220 |
District of Columbia | 223 | 222 - 224 | 223 | 223 | 224 |
Florida | 216 | 215 - 219 | 216 | 216 | 217 |
Georgia | 219 | 216 - 220 | 217 | 218 | 219 |
Hawaii | 217 | 215 - 220 | 217 | 215 | 217 |
Idaho | 214 | 210 - 216 | 211 | 215 | 214 |
Illinois | 219 | 217 - 221 | 219 | 219 | 218 |
Indiana | 216 | 213 - 219 | 216 | 214 | 215 |
Iowa | 213 | 210 - 216 | 210 | 212 | 211 |
Kansas | 215 | 213 - 218 | 214 | 214 | 215 |
Kentucky | 214 | 210 - 217 | 211 | 212 | 212 |
Louisiana | 214 | 211 - 217 | 214 | 213 | 213 |
Maine | 214 | 211 - 217 | 213 | 215 | 211 |
Maryland | 222 | 219 - 223 | 221 | 222 | 224 |
Massachusetts | 222 | 220 - 223 | 222 | 220 | 221 |
Michigan | 217 | 215 - 220 | 217 | 218 | 217 |
Minnesota | 218 | 215 - 220 | 216 | 216 | 218 |
Mississippi | 211 | 209 - 215 | 209 | 210 | 213 |
Missouri | 215 | 212 - 218 | 214 | 213 | 214 |
Montana | 210 | 208 - 214 | 209 | 207 | 208 |
Nebraska | 213 | 209 - 216 | 210 | 212 | 210 |
Nevada | 214 | 210 - 218 | 211 | 210 | 214 |
New Hampshire | 215 | 213 - 219 | 215 | 213 | 214 |
New Jersey | 223 | 222 - 224 | 223 | 223 | 222 |
New Mexico | 211 | 208 - 214 | 207 | 208 | 210 |
New York | 220 | 218 - 222 | 220 | 219 | 220 |
North Carolina | 218 | 215 - 220 | 217 | 217 | 218 |
North Dakota | 208 | 208 - 210 | 207 | 209 | 207 |
Ohio | 216 | 214 - 218 | 216 | 216 | 215 |
Oklahoma | 211 | 209 - 215 | 208 | 211 | 210 |
Oregon | 217 | 215 - 220 | 216 | 216 | 220 |
Pennsylvania | 219 | 217 - 221 | 219 | 218 | 218 |
Rhode Island | 216 | 213 - 219 | 215 | 216 | 213 |
South Carolina | 213 | 209 - 217 | 209 | 213 | 213 |
South Dakota | 211 | 208 - 214 | 209 | 212 | 210 |
Tennessee | 216 | 214 - 219 | 217 | 215 | 215 |
Texas | 220 | 218 - 221 | 219 | 219 | 220 |
Utah | 212 | 209 - 216 | 209 | 211 | 212 |
Vermont | 213 | 210 - 217 | 212 | 213 | 211 |
Virginia | 221 | 219 - 222 | 219 | 221 | 221 |
Washington | 220 | 218 - 222 | 220 | 220 | 220 |
West Virginia | 208 | 208 - 210 | 207 | 207 | 207 |
Wisconsin | 214 | 212 - 217 | 213 | 213 | 214 |
Wyoming | 208 | 208 - 210 | 207 | 207 | 208 |
U.S. Territories | 208 | 208 | 207 | 207 | 207 |
Studying Abroad | 223 | 222 - 224 | 223 | 223 | 224 |
Commended | 208 | 208 | 207 | 207 | 207 |
[See Compass’s National Merit Historical Cutoffs post for data going back to the class of 2008, which can be helpful in comparing this year to its analogues.]
The shift to a shorter, online and adaptive exam is unlikely to wreak the havoc we saw when the “revised PSAT” was introduced 8 years ago. That test overhauled content AND scoring. The digital SAT represents a content change — mainly on Reading and Writing — but keeps the 320-1520 score range intact. The Selection Index, too, remains consistent, with the Reading and Writing score having twice the weight of the Math score.
However, for any given state, a change in cutoff is more likely than not. Historically, Semifinalist cutoffs remain unchanged only about one-third of the time.
Even in years where the Commended cutoff remains static, we see half of state cutoffs go up or down. And it is extremely improbable that the Selection Index will be static. The chart below divides the 50 states into those that saw increases (blue), those that remained unchanged (gray), and those that saw declines (red). We are likely to see a year with far more blue than gray and more gray than red.
Uncertainty around exactly which state cutoffs will change and by how much is why we encourage students to compare their scores to the full estimated range in the table above rather than to a single value (our “Most Likely”). These estimates are built from prior performance data and from data on what scores are doing nationally. State and national numbers are not always in alignment. Cutoffs are particularly bumpy in states with smaller pools of test takers and National Merit Semifinalists. Over the last 10 years, large states’ cutoffs have remained within 1 point of the prior cutoff 88% of the time. That figure drops to 73% for midsized states and 53% for small states. No large state’s cutoff has jumped by more than 3 points in a year, whereas 6-point changes have occurred in the pool of smaller states. Scores also tend to be more stable as they get higher. It is more unusual for a state to move from 221 to 222, for example, than for a state to move from 212 to 213.
What does a cutoff mean? Do I need to score at the cutoff or above it?
Students must have a Selection Index at or above the official cutoff in order to qualify for National Merit honors.
The top 52,000 to 54,000 students will receive some form of honors. National Merit Scholarship Corporation (NMSC) determines the cutoff number that comes closest to producing the target number of national honorees. This is the Commended cutoff.
How are Semifinalist cutoffs set?
Unlike the national Commended cutoff, Semifinalist cutoffs are calculated state by state. NMSC allocates the 16,000 semifinalists among states based on the annual number of high school graduates. For example, California sees about 2,000 Semifinalists every year, Michigan 500, and Wyoming 25. In each state, NMSC determines the Selection Index that comes closest to matching its target number of Semifinalists. If 1,900 California students score 222 and higher and 2,050 score 221 or higher, then the Semifinalist cutoff would be 221 (this assumes that the target is exactly 2,000). Because score levels can get crowded, it is easy for cutoffs to move up or down a point even when there is minimal change in testing behavior or performance.
No Semifinalist cutoff can be lower than the national Commended level. Cutoffs for the District of Columbia and for U.S. students studying abroad are set at the highest state cutoff (typically New Jersey). The cutoff for students in U.S. territories and possessions falls at the Commended level each year. Boarding schools are grouped by region. The cutoff for a given region is the highest state cutoff within the region.
Why does the number of top scorers vary from year to year?
While there are changes in the number of students taking the PSAT/NMSQT, there can also be small flaws in test scaling that play a role. Prior to the digital PSAT, a single test form was seen by a large percentage of test takers. Something amiss with that single form could impact selection cutoffs across the country. The digital PSAT is constructed differently. Students receive unique form codes drawn from a large pool of problems. Scaled scores are generated based on the characteristics of those problems. In theory, this should make scores more stable. College Board’s early studies have found an extremely high correlation between the paper-and-pencil test and digital test. Still, even with its adaptive nature, the uncertainty remains as to whether the much shorter test can reliably score students at the 700-760 end of the scale. It appears that the class of 2025 is roughly average compared to the classes of 2017 to 2024 (the years after the change from the 2400 to 1520 scale).
Will test cancellations raise or lower qualifying scores for the National Merit Scholarship Program?
College Board’s online systems failed under load on one of the biggest testing days. There was also a bug that prevented iPads on the latest operating system from submitting exams. We do not know how many schools or students simply gave up and did not retest on rescheduled dates. If the cancellations increase the number of students pursuing alternate entry (see Compass’s explanation of National Merit alternate entry) then cutoffs could rise. Alternate entrants tend to have higher scores, because they can submit SAT scores through June 2024 to enter the competition. They must apply by April.
When are National Merit Semifinalists announced?
The Commended cutoff becomes unofficially known by the end of April. The lists of Semifinalists are not distributed to high schools until the end of August. NMSC sets a press embargo on Semifinalist announcement until mid-September, but schools are allowed to notify students before that date. NMSC does not send Commended Student letters to high schools until mid-September. Compass will keep students updated on developments as those dates approach.
Do state and national percentiles indicate whether I will be a National Merit Semifinalist?
No! Approximately 1% of test takers qualify as Semifinalists each year, so it is tempting to view a 99th percentile score as indicating a high enough score — especially now that College Board provides students with percentiles by state. There are any number of flaws that rule out using percentiles as a quick way of determining National Merit status.
- Percentiles are based on section scores or total score, not Selection Index
- Percentiles are rounded. There is a large difference, from a National Merit perspective, between the top 0.51% and the top 1.49%
- Percentiles reveal the percentage of students at or below a certain score, but the “at” part is important when NMSC is determining cutoffs.
- The number of Semifinalists is based on the number of high school graduates in a state, not the number of PSAT takers. Percentiles are based on PSAT takers. States have widely varying participation rates.
- Most definitive of all: Percentiles do not reflect the current year’s scores! They are based on the prior 3 years’ performance. They are set even before the test is given. And if you are going to use prior history, why not use the completely accurate record of prior National Merit cutoffs rather than the highly suspect percentiles?
Entry requirements for National Merit versus qualifying for National Merit.
Your PSAT/NMSQT score report tells you whether you meet the eligibility requirements for the NMSP. In general, juniors taking the October PSAT are eligible. If you have an asterisk next to your Selection Index, it means that your answers to the entrance questions have made you ineligible. Your answers are conveniently noted on your score report. If you think there is an error, you will also find instructions on how to contact NMSC. Meeting the eligibility requirements simply means that your score will be considered. Approximately 1.4 million students enter the competition each year. Only about 52,000 students will be named as Commended Students, Semifinalists, Finalists, or Scholars. See National Merit Explained for more information.
Hi Mr Sawyer. I have a 217 Selection Index in CO. What are the odds of making semi-finalist?
Jen,
Based on historical data when the Commended cutoff does not change, I think we’ll see 60-70% of states hold steady or see lower cutoffs. That’s probably a fair estimate for the odds of a 217 qualifying in Colorado. We’ll know in the next 2-3 weeks.
Chances for semi with 215 in AZ?
Aymen,
You may not have received my previous reply. Please let us know when you get word, as it will be helpful for others.
Original reply:
Arizona’s recent past shows why it can be difficult to predict a cutoff. If we look at last year’s 214, things look good. In the preceding 7 years, though, Arizona’s cutoff was no lower than 218. I’d say that it is something of a toss-up at 215.
Didnt make it 🙁
Aymen,
Sorry to hear that. It’s very kind of students to pass information along, even when it is disappointing. Thank you, and best of luck with your applications!
my buddy with 216 got it so AZ cutoff is 216
Thanks, Aymen!
Thank you for sharing. My son got a 215 as well, so I really appreciate the information. Great job on such an amazing score and everything moving forward.
Good Morning Mr. Sawyer,
I received a selection index of 206 and I am wondering if there is any chance I will be commended since the range provided is 206-209. Thank you for your work!
Navam,
Unfortunately, we confirmed that the Commended cutoff came in at 207 this year.
Mr Sawyer,
My son got a 217 in New York. What chance he gets semi final status? Thank you
Max,
New York’s cutoff has not dropped below 219 in the last decade. While a 2-point drop is not out of the question, it would be highly unusual in such a large state.
Hello Mr. Sawyer. What do you think my chances are with a 218 in Georgia? Last year the cut off was 218, but it was 219 for the past few years before that.
NY already released semi-finalist. Your son should received a letter from his school if he is in.
That’s right, Jason, although I try to remind folks that schools may not release letters for another 2 weeks.
Hi Mr Sawyer,
Just curious to understand why NMSC takes a year to process cutoffs, when all the data is already available post PSAT. in October?
Also, how is it that we know the cut offs for FL earlier than the other states? Are we relying on students who received letters to confirm cutoffs?
Do we have any information on NYS final cutoff?
Andy,
There are some practical reasons — NMSC has to verify eligibility with schools — but some of it simply boils down to how NMSC likes to manage the scholarship program calendar. In the fall, it is dealing with choosing Finalists (seniors). In the spring, it moves over to working with colleges on scholarship matching. So the late spring and summer is when it switches attention to determining Semifinalists. And since they depend on having schools back in session, there is not point in mailing letters much before Labor Day.
Most reports come from students. I’m fortunate to have received word from a knowledgable source in Florida. Most reports won’t pick up for another week. Nothing on NY yet. Please do share if you find out your status!
Good morning Mr. Sawyer! Thank you for posting the FL cutoff. I have a 217 so I assume we will receive letters in 2-3 weeks to let us know what our next steps are, right? What would increase my chance to get a NM Scholarship (I have a 4/4 GPA, 35 ACT–superscored). I also have a question about what to send NMSC with regard to ACT report. I read that they don’t accept superscore, so should I send my highest one sitting test score report (which is 34) or a superscore report so they can see my highest section scores? Thank you!
Luke,
Congratulations! When your school passes out letters (yes, probably within 2-3 weeks), you’ll receive login information to NMSC’s Online Scholarship Application. You’ll fill out basic information and write an essay (the prompt has remain unchanged for years, so it will likely be the same as found here). You’ll also need a recommendation from your school. Your GPA is important — sounds like you are in great shape. You are correct that NMSC does not superscore. An ACT superscore report will include your highest sitting, but I’d probably just keep it simple and report the scores from the relevant test date. They will only consider the scores from a single test date. A 34 will be high enough as a confirming score. You can find more details at the same link above.
Dear Mr. Sawyer
How about Hawaii? My child has 216 index. Does she have a chance to be semifinalist?
Hope,
She certainly has a chance. We’ve seen 217 and 215 the last two years. I expect about 60% of state cutoffs will remain unchanged.
Hi Mr. Sawyer! What do you think the odds are a 218 in NY being a semifinalist? I know a lot of states’ cutoffs are dropping, but is it reasonable for the cutoff to drop by one in a large state?
A 1-point drop is not that unusual (maybe 25% in a mostly flat year). On the other hand, it’s been more than a decade since NY has been at 218. So maybe 15-20%? We’ll know as soon as more students receive their letters.
Hello,
I am a student in Nebraska. My principal read off a list of “National Merit” individuals at a school assembly that took place on August 16th. One of those individuals was myself, (Index of 210), as well as a friend (selection index of 209). My principal later stated that this list was specifically National Merit Semifinalists. Would it be possible for my school to receive a letter that early? And is it truly Semifinalists, or could it be Commended?
Thank you, and please ask for any needed clarification.
Logan,
Thanks for sharing this information. Let me admit right up front that I don’t have a definitive answer on this one. In the “Yes, it was NMSFs” column would be (a) that your principal was specific about it and (b) that it was in mid-August and not, let’s say, mid-June. In the “Hmm, something doesn’t sound right” column would be that (a) this would be the earliest I have heard of a school announcing Semifinalists and (b) 209 is lower than I’d expect as a Nebraska cutoff (but not beyond reason).
In late spring, schools receive a list of students continuing in the National Merit competition — effectively a list of Commended and Semifinalists, but without those distinctions yet made. So it’s possible that your principal was talking generally about students receiving National Merit honors. I’ve seen that mistake made before. Since your principal has already made the announcement, I’d be tempted to follow up. “I’d love to share the letter with my parents.” Or, “I’m working on my college applications and would like to mention my NM status.” I hope it’s good news!
Good morning!
Our child received a 223 selection index as a U.S. citizen studying abroad.
If the cutoff remains at 223, does it qualify as a SF or does one have to have a score higher than 223.
What are the chances of the cutoff increasing to 224?
Mail can be slow from the U.S. to abroad. If our child indeed qualifies and mail is slow, should our child/we/the school call after September 13th to retrieve the login information in order to make the October deadline? How do you recommend approaching it.
Many thanks for your time and guidance.
Anon,
Students qualify if they are at the cutoff or higher. So if the cutoff remains at 223, then your student will be a Semifinalist. Realistically, there are only 3-4 states that could ever get to 224 — New Jersey, Massachusetts, Virginia, and Maryland. I don’t think we’ll see 224 out of any of them this year, but conservatively we might call it a 25% chance.
Hi Mr. Sawyer, so is an NMSC selection index of 216 guaranteed for Semifinalist in FL this year? My son has exactly a 216 and not sure if the official cutoff means more than 216 or 216 and more. Please let me know!
Sam,
Yes, all students with the cutoff score (216) or higher will qualify as Semifinalists in FL. Congratulations to your son!
Do the students only find out “officially” via their school? Does this not pop up somewhere in their College Board account?
Jenn,
All Semifinalist and Commended information is sent to the schools for sharing with students. There is no indication in the College Board account. It’s not until the Finalist stage, when students have applied via NMSC’s portal that the organization communicates directly with students.
Chances of semifinalist with a 224 in NJ
Joshua,
No news out of NJ yet, but I don’t think we’ll ever see a 225 cutoff. Certainly not this year. You will be a Semifinalist. Congratulations!
Any word about the cutoff score from Arkansas? Thank you!
Bob,
Nothing yet. We’ll start getting more information next week. Please let me know what you find out if you receive a notification. Thanks!
Letter received by school in CA and news passed on to student by college counselor. 223 was the student’s SI. We were pretty sure she made it, but nice to get that confirmation.
Lori,
Congratulations, and thanks for sharing! Even when it’s a “sure thing,” there is a sense of relief when the notification arrives.
Hi Mr. Sawyer,
What is your source for the official state semi-finalist cut scores? I wasn’t able to corroborate through the College Board website and I didn’t think they were available to the public for 2-3 more weeks. TIA!
Jen
Jen,
My information in unofficial, but I try to highlight when I know it is accurate (as I did with Florida). NMSC does not provide any public information about Semifinalists (other than what it sends to schools) until after the press release date, which I believe will be September 13th. College Board is not involved in National Merit other than the fact that it is responsible for the PSAT/NMSQT.
Ohio homeschool student w/ SI of 220 rec’d NMSF letter yesterday.
Anon in OH,
Thank you for the information, and congratulations to your student!
Any word on Alaska? Our schools are notoriously known for not knowing anything about NM. I asked our counselor about a timeline for semi finalist name release and he said… I don’t know…‘I think it is sometime in march. Yikes. I am terrified that the letter will be mistaken for junk mail and I won’t get notified if I indeed make the cutoff
Sammie,
Nothing. Worst case you will learn the cutoff from Compass or you’ll be able to call NMSC after the press release date to establish your qualification.
Any idea about Tennessee yet? Daughter has 215 and I’m wondering about her chances.
Elizabeth,
No reports yet. In years where the Commended cutoff is steady, we can usually count on about two-thirds or more Semifinalist cutoffs to remain the same or go lower. Given that TN has been at 215 the last 3 years, 60-70% is probably a fair estimate.
Unfortunately heard yesterday that need to be above a 216 for TN
Do you know if there are specific instructions in the letter sent to schools to not disclose the results to students until mid September? When my older son was an NMF, we asked the counselor the end of August about the letter and he passed along the info. But now there’s a new counselor and she’s saying that she can’t disclose the results until weeks from now.
Mel,
I don’t have the exact language handy, but NMSC leaves it vague and asks that schools not make the information “public” until the press release date. I’d estimate that half of schools interpret this to mean that telling students is acceptable. The information is not being shared publicly, but between school and student. Publicizing it in the school newspaper should wait. However, about half of schools interpret the instructions to mean that schools should keep the information secret until the press release date. While I’m certainly in the first camp — NMSC could easily specify that schools not tell students — it’s best not to get into a dispute with a counselor. After all, she will be guiding the student through the Finalist process and may be in charge of the recommendation. You’ve just got to hold on two more weeks. Or until Compass can determine the cutoffs.
Son with 220 SI in MS received NMSF letter yesterday. Letter specifically said it could be given to student to share with his family, but that nothing should be shared publicly until Sep 13.
Hi Mr. Sawyer, Any further thoughts on the Georgia cutoff? My son has a score index of 220. Thanks!
Kat,
No new news, but I remain confident that 220 will hold in Georgia. I don’t expect any states to set new records this year.
Hello Mr. Sawyer. I got a 218 in Georgia. Last year this was the cutoff however it was 219 for the years prior. What are your thoughts on Georgia’s cutoff and do you think a 218 is enough?
I don’t think we know enough about Georgia to say much more than 50/50 for a 218.
219 is Semifinalist in Georgia. I am not sure how low it goes. Found out two days ago.
Congratulations! I’ll update Georgia’s information now.
Hello. My son got an index of 218 in pa. What are his chances?
Anon,
I’d say that it’s in the 70-80% range. In the last 7 years, PA’s cutoff has gone above 218 3 times, but those have all been in “up” years, where the Commended level fell above 210.
HS Principal in Texas confirmed he has received the list. But will not announce until Sept. 13th.
Any word re Texas?
No Texas results yet.
My child was shown the Texas list today and they made it with a 219.
Texas,
Congratulations! So we now know that Texas has not gone up. Thank you for sharing.
Was 219 a yes or a no for semifinalist? I understand your comment to be yes, but Art’s response sounded like no.
Another,
It was a yes. Sorry, if my comment was confusing. I meant that the Texas cutoff can be no higher than 219. It’s still possible that it is lower.
Thank you for sharing! My child got a 221 in Texas but her school has not notified her yet.
Congratulations!
Any updates re: Texas? Son has a 218 and we’re on pins and needles.
Nothing beyond what I’ve already noted. Fingers crossed.
Thank you! 🤞
Son with 220 SI in MS received NMSF letter yesterday. Letter specifically said it could be given to student to share with his family, but that nothing should be shared publicly until Sep 13.
Anonymous,
It’s always frustrating that so many schools won’t share the information with families. Thank you for the confirmation, and congratulations to your son!
Hello Mr. Sawyer, What are the chances for 221 in California. No communication from school as yet.
I think the chances are good (maybe 70-80%). California has hit 222 and 223, but those were in years where most scores skewed high. This is a “down” year.
My daughter with a 222 SI in California received her letter today.
Congratulations! I will update the information on California. Thank you.
My daughter in CA with a 221 SI received word from her guidance counselor that she is a Semi-Finalist.
Congratulations to your daughter! The 221 will come as a relief to many students. Thank you.